Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.564820 0.711170 0.868198 1.047342 1.244342 1.452859 1.688804
2025-03-16 0.326521 0.514510 0.737352 1.011543 1.331894 1.687783 2.107069
2025-03-23 0.230503 0.435728 0.697698 1.036290 1.446270 1.913937 2.476470
2025-03-30 0.154695 0.362280 0.649360 1.038503 1.525077 2.092793 2.787417
2025-04-06 0.095240 0.292654 0.591902 1.017671 1.566513 2.220096 3.031811
2025-04-13 0.069739 0.268714 0.591833 1.066844 1.691159 2.443997 3.387369
2025-04-20 0.050629 0.249120 0.593963 1.116015 1.813700 2.663894 3.737123
2025-04-27 0.037346 0.235889 0.602962 1.172714 1.944620 2.893207 4.097616
2025-05-04 0.031802 0.238717 0.636625 1.263478 2.119489 3.176488 4.522954
2025-05-11 0.022655 0.227161 0.644732 1.316743 2.244647 3.398044 4.873925
2025-05-18 0.011969 0.201654 0.625733 1.328705 2.313893 3.549234 5.139240
2025-05-25 0.002291 0.157603 0.566811 1.277458 2.295811 3.589105 5.267743
2025-06-01 NaN 0.113382 0.500020 1.212814 2.261853 3.613926 5.385674
2025-06-08 NaN 0.084328 0.455773 1.179060 2.268003 3.688671 5.564701
2025-06-15 NaN 0.073395 0.449293 1.204487 2.355552 3.866954 5.870843
2025-06-22 NaN 0.059068 0.430281 1.207272 2.410008 4.001825 6.122710
2025-06-29 NaN 0.042344 0.398047 1.184597 2.426176 4.085580 6.309794
2025-07-06 NaN 0.040388 0.409414 1.237869 2.552381 4.313750 6.678282
2025-07-13 NaN 0.038586 0.420764 1.291011 2.678438 4.541855 7.046910
2025-07-20 NaN 0.038144 0.436578 1.352201 2.816413 4.785874 7.435850
2025-07-27 NaN 0.043292 0.472483 1.449939 3.008372 5.101518 7.915450
2025-08-03 NaN 0.042187 0.486010 1.507187 3.140856 5.338677 8.296267
2025-08-10 NaN 0.034905 0.475409 1.520034 3.207638 5.488766 8.567157